Now that we’re on the opposite facet of Labor Day and summer season is subsiding, that is — as custom goes — when concentrate on political campaigns actually begins to warmth up. The off-year elections this November will get some consideration, however the principle attraction continues to be the 2024 Republican presidential main.
On this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we ask a query we are going to undoubtedly return to within the 4 months till the Iowa caucuses: Is Donald Trump’s nomination inevitable? And if not inevitable, how can we place the chance he wins the GOP main in historic context?
We even have partial outcomes from two particular main elections and we debate “good or dangerous use of polling” for a traditional and controversial matter: inside polls.
